- Impacts of Tobacco Taxation on Poverty and Inequality in Serbia (2023)
- Impacts of Tobacco Tax Increases on Tax Revenues and Public Health in Serbia: A Simulation Model (2023)
- Macroeconomic Impacts of Tobacco Taxation in Serbia (2022)
- Distributional Impact of Tobacco ExciseTaxes in Serbia (2022)
- Crowding out Effect of Tobacco Consumption in Serbia (2021)
- Tobacco Tax Avoidance and Evasion in Serbia (2021)
- Adult Tobacco Consumption in Serbia, 2019 (2020)
- Tobacco Elasticities and Government - Serbia (2019)
- National Study on Economic of Tobacco and Tobacco Taxation (2018)
- Policy briefs
Impacts of Tobacco Tax Increases on Tax Revenues and Public Health in Serbia: A Simulation Model (2023)
This research aims to estimate the impact of an increase in tobacco excise taxes on tobacco consumption, government revenues from tobacco, premature deaths, and youth initiation in Serbia. A simulation model is developed to predict the effects of tobacco excise increases on budget revenues from tobacco as well as on public health. The simulation assumes an annual increase in the specific excise per pack of 15 percent from its base value which leads to an increase in cigarette prices of 9.7 percent in the first year and 10.6 percent in the second year. In brief, the simulation demonstrates that tax revenues would be higher, while the smoking prevalence would be lower.
Impacts of Tobacco Tax Increases on Tax Revenues and Public Health in Serbia: A Simulation Model (2023) - download here
